San Antonio FC
Oakland Roots SC
The model leans San Antonio FC at 50%. Expected goals: San Antonio FC 1.68, Oakland Roots SC 1.08. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%. San Antonio FC won 3 of their last 6; Oakland Roots SC won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1San Antonio FC | 50% | 2.00 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.77 | – | – | – |
| 2Oakland Roots SC | 23% | 4.28 | – | – | – |
Pick: San Antonio FC. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 50%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.68 – 1.08| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–16.8%
- 0–06.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 48% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: San Antonio FC −0.5| San Antonio FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 24% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | – | 49% |
| 0 | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.