San Antonio FC
Las Vegas Lights FC
The model leans San Antonio FC at 53%. Expected goals: San Antonio FC 1.79, Las Vegas Lights FC 0.81. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%. San Antonio FC won 3 of their last 6; Las Vegas Lights FC won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1San Antonio FC | 60% | 1.68 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.00 | – | – | – |
| 2Las Vegas Lights FC | 15% | 6.48 | – | – | – |
Pick: San Antonio FC. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 60%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 85%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.79 – 0.81| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% |
| Both teams to score | Yes46% | No54% |
Most likely scores
- 1–013.4%
- 2–011.9%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–07.5%
- 3–07.1%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 48% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: San Antonio FC −1| San Antonio FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | – | 39% |
| 0 | 61% | 23% | 17% |
| +0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.