Clydebank
Gretna FC 2008
The model leans Clydebank at 77%. Expected goals: Clydebank 4.54, Gretna FC 2008 0.67. Over 2.5 goals 89%, both teams to score 51%. Clydebank won 3 of their last 5; Gretna FC 2008 won 0 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Clydebank | 94% | 1.06 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 4% | 22.99 | – | – | – |
| 2Gretna FC 2008 | 2% | 66.23 | – | – | – |
Pick: Clydebank. Calibrated probability 77% (raw model output 94%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 98%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 4.54 – 0.67| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% |
| 2.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 75% | 25% |
| Both teams to score | Yes48% | No52% |
Most likely scores
- 4–010.1%
- 5–09.2%
- 3–08.9%
- 6–06.9%
- 4–16.8%
- 5–16.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 71% · BTTS No 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Clydebank −2| Clydebank line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| -1 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| -0.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
| 0 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +0.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
| +1 | 98% | 1% | 0% |
| +1.5 | 100% | – | 0% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.