Caledonian Braves
Clydebank
The model leans Clydebank at 53%. Expected goals: Caledonian Braves 1.66, Clydebank 2.78. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 76%. Caledonian Braves won 1 of their last 3; Clydebank won 3 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Caledonian Braves | 21% | 4.76 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 18% | 5.44 | – | – | – |
| 2Clydebank | 61% | 1.65 | – | – | – |
Pick: Clydebank. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 61%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 82%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.66 – 2.78| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% |
| Both teams to score | Yes76% | No24% |
Most likely scores
- 1–27.6%
- 1–37.0%
- 2–26.3%
- 2–35.8%
- 1–15.5%
- 1–44.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 61%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Clydebank −1| Caledonian Braves line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| 0 | 22% | 17% | 61% |
| +0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 20% | 41% |
| +1.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.