Albion Rovers
Caledonian Braves
The model leans Caledonian Braves at 50%. Expected goals: Albion Rovers 1.54, Caledonian Braves 2.30. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 71%. Albion Rovers won 1 of their last 3; Caledonian Braves won 1 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Albion Rovers | 25% | 4.06 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.69 | – | – | – |
| 2Caledonian Braves | 54% | 1.85 | – | – | – |
Pick: Caledonian Braves. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 54%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.54 – 2.30| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| Both teams to score | Yes71% | No29% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.8%
- 1–17.6%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–36.7%
- 2–15.9%
- 0–25.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Caledonian Braves −0.5| Albion Rovers line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 14% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | – | 75% |
| 0 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| +0.5 | 45% | – | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 21% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.