Predictions · Challenge Cup · outside model coverage
Clydebank
4–0
Won
Hibernian B
The model leans Clydebank at 70%. Expected goals: Clydebank 4.57, Hibernian B 1.59. Over 2.5 goals 94%, both teams to score 79%.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match84
| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Clydebank | 84% | 1.19 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 9% | 11.67 | – | – | – |
| 2Hibernian B | 7% | 13.99 | – | – | – |
Pick: Clydebank. Calibrated probability 70% (raw model output 84%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 93%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 4.57 – 1.59| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% |
| 2.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 86% | 14% |
| Both teams to score | Yes79% | No21% |
Most likely scores
- 4–16.4%
- 5–15.8%
- 3–15.6%
- 4–25.1%
- 5–24.6%
- 3–24.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 73% · BTTS Yes 63%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Clydebank −2| Clydebank line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| -1 | 71% | 13% | 16% |
| -0.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
| 0 | 84% | 9% | 8% |
| +0.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.