Vojvodina
FK Radnik Surdulica
The model leans Vojvodina at 53%. Expected goals: Vojvodina 1.81, FK Radnik Surdulica 0.77. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%. Vojvodina won 2 of their last 6; FK Radnik Surdulica won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vojvodina | 61% | 1.64 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.07 | – | – | – |
| 2FK Radnik Surdulica | 14% | 6.93 | – | – | – |
Pick: Vojvodina. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 61%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 86%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.81 – 0.77| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% |
| Both teams to score | Yes45% | No55% |
Most likely scores
- 1–013.6%
- 2–012.4%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–07.5%
- 3–07.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 48% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Vojvodina −1| Vojvodina line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| 0 | 62% | 22% | 15% |
| +0.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.