Internacional de Bogotá
Deportivo Pasto
The model leans Internacional de Bogotá at 37%. Expected goals: Internacional de Bogotá 1.54, Deportivo Pasto 1.44. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 61%. Internacional de Bogotá won 2 of their last 3; Deportivo Pasto won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Internacional de Bogotá | 39% | 2.57 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.76 | – | – | – |
| 2Deportivo Pasto | 35% | 2.89 | – | – | – |
Pick: Internacional de Bogotá. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.54 – 1.44| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% |
| Both teams to score | Yes60% | No40% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.2%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–28.1%
- 1–07.8%
- 0–17.3%
- 2–26.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 52% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Internacional de Bogotá 0| Internacional de Bogotá line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 20% | – | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 20% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| 0 | 40% | 24% | 36% |
| +0.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.