Hapoel Ramat Gan
Beitar Jerusalem
The model leans Beitar Jerusalem at 53%. Expected goals: Hapoel Ramat Gan 0.99, Beitar Jerusalem 2.00. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 55%. Hapoel Ramat Gan won 0 of their last 3; Beitar Jerusalem won 0 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hapoel Ramat Gan | 17% | 5.87 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.33 | – | – | – |
| 2Beitar Jerusalem | 60% | 1.67 | – | – | – |
Pick: Beitar Jerusalem. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 60%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.99 – 2.00| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 0–210.0%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–210.0%
- 1–19.9%
- 0–36.7%
- 1–36.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 53% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Beitar Jerusalem −1| Hapoel Ramat Gan line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| 0 | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| +0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 24% | 37% |
| +1.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.