Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Beer Sheva
The model leans Hapoel Beer Sheva at 51%. Expected goals: Hapoel Ramat Gan 1.05, Hapoel Beer Sheva 2.01. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 57%. Hapoel Ramat Gan won 0 of their last 3; Hapoel Beer Sheva won 1 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hapoel Ramat Gan | 18% | 5.48 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.30 | – | – | – |
| 2Hapoel Beer Sheva | 59% | 1.71 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hapoel Beer Sheva. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 59%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 82%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.05 – 2.01| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% |
| Both teams to score | Yes56% | No44% |
Most likely scores
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.9%
- 0–29.5%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–36.6%
- 0–36.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hapoel Beer Sheva −1| Hapoel Ramat Gan line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7% | – | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| 0 | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| +0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 24% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.