Maccabi Haifa
Hapoel Ramat Gan
The model leans Maccabi Haifa at 50%. Expected goals: Maccabi Haifa 1.86, Hapoel Ramat Gan 1.19. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 60%. Maccabi Haifa won 1 of their last 3; Hapoel Ramat Gan won 0 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Maccabi Haifa | 52% | 1.92 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.04 | – | – | – |
| 2Hapoel Ramat Gan | 23% | 4.30 | – | – | – |
Pick: Maccabi Haifa. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 52%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.86 – 1.19| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–26.2%
- 3–16.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Maccabi Haifa −0.5| Maccabi Haifa line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | – | 47% |
| 0 | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| +0.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.