Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
The model leans Maccabi Tel Aviv at 47%. Expected goals: Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.12, Maccabi Haifa 1.60. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 71%. Maccabi Tel Aviv won 4 of their last 4; Maccabi Haifa won 1 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Maccabi Tel Aviv | 49% | 2.03 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.44 | – | – | – |
| 2Maccabi Haifa | 28% | 3.53 | – | – | – |
Pick: Maccabi Tel Aviv. Calibrated probability 47% (raw model output 49%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.12 – 1.60| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% |
| Both teams to score | Yes70% | No30% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.7%
- 1–18.2%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.6%
- 3–16.2%
- 2–05.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Maccabi Tel Aviv −0.5| Maccabi Tel Aviv line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 20% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| 0 | 50% | 21% | 29% |
| +0.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.