Al Masry SC
Pyramids FC
The model leans Pyramids FC at 38%. Expected goals: Al Masry SC 1.32, Pyramids FC 1.53. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. Al Masry SC won 3 of their last 4; Pyramids FC won 3 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al Masry SC | 32% | 3.16 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.67 | – | – | – |
| 2Pyramids FC | 41% | 2.43 | – | – | – |
Pick: Pyramids FC. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 41%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.32 – 1.53| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% |
| Both teams to score | Yes57% | No43% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.7%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–17.7%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–26.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Al Masry SC 0| Al Masry SC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | – | 67% |
| 0 | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| +0.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.