ENPPI
Al Masry SC
The model leans Draw at 29%. Expected goals: ENPPI 0.97, Al Masry SC 0.96. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 60%. ENPPI won 0 of their last 4; Al Masry SC won 3 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1ENPPI | 33% | 3.03 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 34% | 2.92 | – | – | – |
| 2Al Masry SC | 33% | 3.06 | – | – | – |
Pick: Draw. Calibrated probability 29% (raw model output 34%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 67%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.97 – 0.96| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% |
| Both teams to score | Yes38% | No62% |
Most likely scores
- 0–014.6%
- 1–014.1%
- 0–114.0%
- 1–113.5%
- 2–06.8%
- 0–26.7%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 59% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: ENPPI 0| ENPPI line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 22% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | – | 66% |
| 0 | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 22% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.