Predictions · Premier League · outside model coverage

Pyramids FC

20
Won

Abo Qir Semad

The model leans Pyramids FC at 77%. Expected goals: Pyramids FC 3.01, Abo Qir Semad 0.05. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 95%. Pyramids FC won 3 of their last 3; Abo Qir Semad won 1 of their last 3.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Pyramids FC94%1.06
XDraw6%17.99
2Abo Qir Semad0%526.32

Pick: Pyramids FC. Calibrated probability 77% (raw model output 94%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 100%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 3.01 – 0.05
LineOverUnder
1.581%19%
2.559%41%
3.536%64%
Both teams to scoreYes5%No95%

Most likely scores

  • 3021.4%
  • 2021.3%
  • 4016.1%
  • 1014.2%
  • 509.7%
  • 604.9%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS No 64%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Pyramids FC −2
Pyramids FC lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.579%21%
-179%15%6%
-0.594%6%
094%5%0%
+0.5100%0%
+1100%0%0%
+1.5100%0%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.