Olympic El Qanah FC
El Gouna FC
The model leans El Gouna FC at 63%. Expected goals: Olympic El Qanah FC 0.05, El Gouna FC 1.35. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 96%. Olympic El Qanah FC won 1 of their last 3; El Gouna FC won 0 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Olympic El Qanah FC | 1% | 87.72 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.76 | – | – | – |
| 2El Gouna FC | 72% | 1.38 | – | – | – |
Pick: El Gouna FC. Calibrated probability 63% (raw model output 72%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 99%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.05 – 1.35| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 83% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% |
| Both teams to score | Yes4% | No96% |
Most likely scores
- 0–133.3%
- 0–024.6%
- 0–222.5%
- 0–310.2%
- 0–43.4%
- 1–11.7%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 69% · BTTS No 65%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: El Gouna FC −1| Olympic El Qanah FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 0% | – | 100% |
| -1 | 0% | 1% | 99% |
| -0.5 | 1% | – | 99% |
| 0 | 1% | 26% | 72% |
| +0.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| +1 | 28% | 34% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.