Ceramica Cleopatra
Olympic El Qanah FC
The model leans Ceramica Cleopatra at 69%. Expected goals: Ceramica Cleopatra 1.74, Olympic El Qanah FC 0.05. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 96%. Ceramica Cleopatra won 2 of their last 3; Olympic El Qanah FC won 1 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ceramica Cleopatra | 81% | 1.24 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 19% | 5.40 | – | – | – |
| 2Olympic El Qanah FC | 1% | 133.33 | – | – | – |
Pick: Ceramica Cleopatra. Calibrated probability 69% (raw model output 81%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 99%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.74 – 0.05| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% |
| Both teams to score | Yes4% | No96% |
Most likely scores
- 1–029.1%
- 2–025.3%
- 0–016.7%
- 3–014.6%
- 4–06.4%
- 5–02.2%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 60% · BTTS No 64%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Ceramica Cleopatra −1.5| Ceramica Cleopatra line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 51% | – | 49% |
| -1 | 51% | 30% | 19% |
| -0.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
| 0 | 81% | 18% | 1% |
| +0.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
| +1 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +1.5 | 100% | – | 0% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.