Wadi Degla FC
Olympic El Qanah FC
The model leans Wadi Degla FC at 71%. Expected goals: Wadi Degla FC 2.01, Olympic El Qanah FC 0.05. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 96%. Wadi Degla FC won 1 of their last 4; Olympic El Qanah FC won 1 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wadi Degla FC | 85% | 1.17 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 14% | 6.99 | – | – | – |
| 2Olympic El Qanah FC | 1% | 178.57 | – | – | – |
Pick: Wadi Degla FC. Calibrated probability 71% (raw model output 85%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 99%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.01 – 0.05| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% |
| Both teams to score | Yes4% | No96% |
Most likely scores
- 2–025.8%
- 1–025.6%
- 3–017.3%
- 0–012.7%
- 4–08.7%
- 5–03.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 58% · BTTS No 64%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Wadi Degla FC −2| Wadi Degla FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| -1 | 58% | 27% | 15% |
| -0.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| 0 | 85% | 14% | 1% |
| +0.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
| +1 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +1.5 | 100% | – | 0% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.