Wadi Degla FC
ZED FC
The model leans Wadi Degla FC at 36%. Expected goals: Wadi Degla FC 1.17, ZED FC 1.02. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 55%. Wadi Degla FC won 1 of their last 4; ZED FC won 2 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wadi Degla FC | 38% | 2.65 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.15 | – | – | – |
| 2ZED FC | 30% | 3.29 | – | – | – |
Pick: Wadi Degla FC. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 70%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.17 – 1.02| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% |
| Both teams to score | Yes44% | No56% |
Most likely scores
- 1–113.4%
- 1–013.1%
- 0–111.4%
- 0–011.2%
- 2–17.8%
- 2–07.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 56% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Wadi Degla FC 0| Wadi Degla FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 23% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| 0 | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| +0.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.