Tala'ea El Gaish
ZED FC
The model leans ZED FC at 40%. Expected goals: Tala'ea El Gaish 0.67, ZED FC 1.05. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 67%. Tala'ea El Gaish won 2 of their last 3; ZED FC won 2 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Tala'ea El Gaish | 22% | 4.62 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 35% | 2.83 | – | – | – |
| 2ZED FC | 43% | 2.33 | – | – | – |
Pick: ZED FC. Calibrated probability 40% (raw model output 43%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.67 – 1.05| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% |
| Both teams to score | Yes32% | No68% |
Most likely scores
- 0–118.8%
- 0–017.9%
- 1–112.6%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–29.9%
- 1–26.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 61% · BTTS No 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: ZED FC −0.5| Tala'ea El Gaish line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 17% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | – | 77% |
| 0 | 23% | 33% | 44% |
| +0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.