Ceramica Cleopatra
Modern Sport FC
The model leans Ceramica Cleopatra at 46%. Expected goals: Ceramica Cleopatra 1.13, Modern Sport FC 0.56. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 70%. Ceramica Cleopatra won 2 of their last 3; Modern Sport FC won 1 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ceramica Cleopatra | 49% | 2.06 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 34% | 2.90 | – | – | – |
| 2Modern Sport FC | 17% | 5.90 | – | – | – |
Pick: Ceramica Cleopatra. Calibrated probability 46% (raw model output 49%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.13 – 0.56| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% |
| Both teams to score | Yes29% | No71% |
Most likely scores
- 1–021.0%
- 0–018.6%
- 2–011.8%
- 1–111.6%
- 0–110.3%
- 2–16.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 61% · BTTS No 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Ceramica Cleopatra −0.5| Ceramica Cleopatra line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 21% | – | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 28% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| 0 | 50% | 32% | 18% |
| +0.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 14% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.