Hradec Kralove
Beşiktaş
The model leans Beşiktaş at 39%. Expected goals: Hradec Kralove 1.14, Beşiktaş 1.43. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 53%. Hradec Kralove won 1 of their last 6; Beşiktaş won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hradec Kralove | 29% | 3.45 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.48 | – | – | – |
| 2Beşiktaş | 42% | 2.37 | – | – | – |
Pick: Beşiktaş. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 71%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.14 – 1.43| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% |
| Both teams to score | Yes52% | No48% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.5%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–27.8%
- 0–07.7%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 49% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Beşiktaş −0.5| Hradec Kralove line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 18% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| 0 | 30% | 26% | 44% |
| +0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.