Hradec Kralove
Banik Ostrava
The model leans Hradec Kralove at 53%. Expected goals: Hradec Kralove 1.78, Banik Ostrava 0.75. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 55%. Hradec Kralove won 1 of their last 6; Banik Ostrava won 3 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hradec Kralove | 61% | 1.64 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.03 | – | – | – |
| 2Banik Ostrava | 14% | 7.04 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hradec Kralove. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 61%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 86%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.78 – 0.75| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams to score | Yes44% | No56% |
Most likely scores
- 1–014.2%
- 2–012.6%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.5%
- 0–08.0%
- 3–07.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hradec Kralove −1| Hradec Kralove line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| 0 | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| +0.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 11% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.