Manisa Futbol Kulübü
Van Spor Kulübü
The model leans Manisa Futbol Kulübü at 40%. Expected goals: Manisa Futbol Kulübü 1.48, Van Spor Kulübü 1.18. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%. Manisa Futbol Kulübü won 2 of their last 5; Van Spor Kulübü won 1 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Manisa Futbol Kulübü | 43% | 2.33 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.55 | – | – | – |
| 2Van Spor Kulübü | 29% | 3.46 | – | – | – |
Pick: Manisa Futbol Kulübü. Calibrated probability 40% (raw model output 43%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 72%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.48 – 1.18| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–07.7%
- 1–27.2%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 38% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Manisa Futbol Kulübü −0.5| Manisa Futbol Kulübü line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | – | 56% |
| 0 | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| +0.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.