Boluspor
Manisa Futbol Kulübü
The model leans Boluspor at 39%. Expected goals: Boluspor 1.59, Manisa Futbol Kulübü 1.37. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 61%. Boluspor won 0 of their last 3; Manisa Futbol Kulübü won 2 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Boluspor | 41% | 2.41 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.76 | – | – | – |
| 2Manisa Futbol Kulübü | 32% | 3.13 | – | – | – |
Pick: Boluspor. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 41%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.59 – 1.37| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–17.1%
- 2–06.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 52% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Boluspor 0| Boluspor line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| 0 | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| +0.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.