Amed Sportif
Trabzonspor
The model leans Trabzonspor at 55%. Expected goals: Amed Sportif 1.08, Trabzonspor 2.33. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 61%. Amed Sportif won 2 of their last 3; Trabzonspor won 2 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Amed Sportif | 15% | 6.49 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 4.94 | – | – | – |
| 2Trabzonspor | 64% | 1.55 | – | – | – |
Pick: Trabzonspor. Calibrated probability 55% (raw model output 64%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 85%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.08 – 2.33| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| Both teams to score | Yes60% | No40% |
Most likely scores
- 1–29.7%
- 0–28.9%
- 1–18.3%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–37.5%
- 0–36.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Trabzonspor −1| Amed Sportif line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | – | 84% |
| 0 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| +0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| +1 | 35% | 22% | 43% |
| +1.5 | 57% | – | 43% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.