Grasshopper
St. Gallen
The model leans St. Gallen at 53%. Expected goals: Grasshopper 1.01, St. Gallen 2.09. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 57%. Grasshopper won 1 of their last 6; St. Gallen won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Grasshopper | 17% | 6.06 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.48 | – | – | – |
| 2St. Gallen | 61% | 1.63 | – | – | – |
Pick: St. Gallen. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 61%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.01 – 2.09| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% |
| Both teams to score | Yes56% | No44% |
Most likely scores
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.8%
- 1–19.5%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–36.9%
- 0–36.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: St. Gallen −1| Grasshopper line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| 0 | 17% | 20% | 62% |
| +0.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| +1 | 38% | 24% | 39% |
| +1.5 | 61% | – | 39% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.