FK IMT Beograd
Radnicki Nis
The model leans FK IMT Beograd at 37%. Expected goals: FK IMT Beograd 1.12, Radnicki Nis 0.94. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 58%. FK IMT Beograd won 2 of their last 4; Radnicki Nis won 0 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FK IMT Beograd | 38% | 2.62 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 33% | 3.04 | – | – | – |
| 2Radnicki Nis | 29% | 3.45 | – | – | – |
Pick: FK IMT Beograd. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 71%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.12 – 0.94| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% |
| Both teams to score | Yes41% | No59% |
Most likely scores
- 1–014.3%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–012.8%
- 0–112.0%
- 2–08.0%
- 2–17.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 58% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FK IMT Beograd 0| FK IMT Beograd line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 16% | – | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 23% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| 0 | 39% | 30% | 30% |
| +0.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 20% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.