FK Radnicki 1923
FK IMT Beograd
The model leans FK Radnicki 1923 at 36%. Expected goals: FK Radnicki 1923 0.95, FK IMT Beograd 0.74. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 66%. FK Radnicki 1923 won 1 of their last 3; FK IMT Beograd won 2 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FK Radnicki 1923 | 38% | 2.65 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 36% | 2.75 | – | – | – |
| 2FK IMT Beograd | 26% | 3.86 | – | – | – |
Pick: FK Radnicki 1923. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.95 – 0.74| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% |
| Both teams to score | Yes32% | No68% |
Most likely scores
- 0–018.3%
- 1–017.5%
- 0–113.6%
- 1–113.0%
- 2–08.3%
- 2–16.2%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 61% · BTTS No 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FK Radnicki 1923 0| FK Radnicki 1923 line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 15% | – | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 24% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| 0 | 39% | 34% | 27% |
| +0.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 19% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.