Radnicki Nis
Cukaricki
The model leans Radnicki Nis at 29%. Expected goals: Radnicki Nis 1.12, Cukaricki 1.09. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 54%. Radnicki Nis won 0 of their last 3; Cukaricki won 2 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Radnicki Nis | 35% | 2.86 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.16 | – | – | – |
| 2Cukaricki | 33% | 3.00 | – | – | – |
Pick: Radnicki Nis. Calibrated probability 29% (raw model output 35%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 68%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.12 – 1.09| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% |
| Both teams to score | Yes45% | No55% |
Most likely scores
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.3%
- 0–111.9%
- 0–010.9%
- 2–17.5%
- 1–27.3%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Radnicki Nis 0| Radnicki Nis line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 15% | – | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 22% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| 0 | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| +0.5 | 65% | – | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.