Deportivo Cali
Bucaramanga
The model leans Deportivo Cali at 42%. Expected goals: Deportivo Cali 1.36, Bucaramanga 0.94. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 53%. Deportivo Cali won 2 of their last 4; Bucaramanga won 0 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Deportivo Cali | 45% | 2.21 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.32 | – | – | – |
| 2Bucaramanga | 25% | 4.05 | – | – | – |
Pick: Deportivo Cali. Calibrated probability 42% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.36 – 0.94| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% |
| Both teams to score | Yes45% | No55% |
Most likely scores
- 1–013.6%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–09.9%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–09.3%
- 2–18.7%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 54% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Deportivo Cali −0.5| Deportivo Cali line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 24% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| 0 | 47% | 28% | 26% |
| +0.5 | 74% | – | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.