Rizespor
Samsunspor
The model leans Samsunspor at 37%. Expected goals: Rizespor 1.60, Samsunspor 1.63. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 65%. Rizespor won 2 of their last 4; Samsunspor won 1 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rizespor | 37% | 2.74 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 3.94 | – | – | – |
| 2Samsunspor | 38% | 2.63 | – | – | – |
Pick: Samsunspor. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.60 – 1.63| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams to score | Yes64% | No36% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.2%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.5%
- 1–06.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 56% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Rizespor 0| Rizespor line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| 0 | 38% | 23% | 39% |
| +0.5 | 61% | – | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.