Colo Colo
Unión Española
The model leans Colo Colo at 68%. Expected goals: Colo Colo 2.54, Unión Española 0.68. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 54%. Colo Colo won 2 of their last 3; Unión Española won 1 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Colo Colo | 77% | 1.30 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 16% | 6.29 | – | – | – |
| 2Unión Española | 7% | 14.10 | – | – | – |
Pick: Colo Colo. Calibrated probability 68% (raw model output 77%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 93%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.54 – 0.68| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams to score | Yes45% | No55% |
Most likely scores
- 2–013.0%
- 3–011.0%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–18.8%
- 3–17.4%
- 4–06.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 56% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Colo Colo −2| Colo Colo line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| -1 | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| -0.5 | 78% | – | 22% |
| 0 | 78% | 15% | 8% |
| +0.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.