Predictions · Leagues Cup · outside model coverage
Inter Miami CF
1–2
Lost
Monterrey
The model leans Inter Miami CF at 67%. Expected goals: Inter Miami CF 3.27, Monterrey 1.24. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 69%.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match76
| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Inter Miami CF | 76% | 1.32 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 14% | 7.32 | – | – | – |
| 2Monterrey | 10% | 9.71 | – | – | – |
Pick: Inter Miami CF. Calibrated probability 67% (raw model output 76%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 90%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.27 – 1.24| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% |
| Both teams to score | Yes68% | No32% |
Most likely scores
- 3–18.0%
- 2–17.4%
- 4–16.5%
- 3–06.5%
- 2–05.9%
- 4–05.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Inter Miami CF −2| Inter Miami CF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| -1 | 58% | 18% | 24% |
| -0.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
| 0 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +0.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.