Annecy FC
Metz
The model leans Annecy FC at 53%. Expected goals: Annecy FC 2.05, Metz 0.99. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 56%. Annecy FC won 2 of their last 4; Metz won 2 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Annecy FC | 61% | 1.64 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.43 | – | – | – |
| 2Metz | 16% | 6.08 | – | – | – |
Pick: Annecy FC. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 61%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 84%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.05 – 0.99| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% |
| Both teams to score | Yes55% | No45% |
Most likely scores
- 2–010.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.8%
- 1–19.7%
- 3–06.9%
- 3–16.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Annecy FC −1| Annecy FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| 0 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.