Petrovac
Jezero
The model leans Petrovac at 50%. Expected goals: Petrovac 1.50, Jezero 0.72. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 59%. Petrovac won 1 of their last 4; Jezero won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Petrovac | 55% | 1.83 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.50 | – | – | – |
| 2Jezero | 17% | 5.98 | – | – | – |
Pick: Petrovac. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 55%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.50 – 0.72| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% |
| Both teams to score | Yes40% | No60% |
Most likely scores
- 1–016.4%
- 2–012.2%
- 1–111.7%
- 0–010.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–17.9%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Petrovac −0.5| Petrovac line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| 0 | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| +0.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 13% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.