Al-Ula FC
Al Jabalain
The model leans Al-Ula FC at 60%. Expected goals: Al-Ula FC 2.17, Al Jabalain 0.88. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 53%. Al-Ula FC won 4 of their last 4; Al Jabalain won 1 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al-Ula FC | 66% | 1.51 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.78 | – | – | – |
| 2Al Jabalain | 13% | 7.69 | – | – | – |
Pick: Al-Ula FC. Calibrated probability 60% (raw model output 66%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.17 – 0.88| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% |
| Both teams to score | Yes52% | No48% |
Most likely scores
- 2–011.2%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–08.1%
- 3–17.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Al-Ula FC −1| Al-Ula FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| 0 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +0.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.