Deportes Temuco
Deportes Recoleta
The model leans Deportes Temuco at 54%. Expected goals: Deportes Temuco 2.12, Deportes Recoleta 1.04. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 58%. Deportes Temuco won 0 of their last 4; Deportes Recoleta won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Deportes Temuco | 61% | 1.63 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.54 | – | – | – |
| 2Deportes Recoleta | 17% | 5.99 | – | – | – |
Pick: Deportes Temuco. Calibrated probability 54% (raw model output 61%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.12 – 1.04| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% |
| Both teams to score | Yes57% | No43% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.5%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–09.0%
- 3–17.0%
- 3–06.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Deportes Temuco −1| Deportes Temuco line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| 0 | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| +0.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.