Brasileirão · Match preview
Fluminense 1–0
Vasco da Gama
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
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Match overview
Final score: Fluminense 1–0 Vasco da Gama.
Fluminense are 4th in the Brasileirão table with 51 points from 30 matches; Vasco da Gama are 15th with 35 points from 29.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Fluminense D W W D L; Vasco da Gama W W W L L.
One previous meeting in our archive: Fluminense 0, draws 0, Vasco da Gama 1.
In their last 5 settled matches Fluminense scored 2.0 and conceded 2.0 goals per game; Vasco da Gama scored 1.4 and conceded 1.6 in their last 5.
The Brasileirão averages 2.7 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 3.5. Over 2.5 landed in 70% and both teams scored in 70% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Fluminense to win at 60% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Fluminense to win
- Probability
- 60%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Brasileirão record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 80% | 100% | 0% |
| Vasco da Gama | 5 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 60% | 40% | 40% |
Brasileirão average this season: 2.7 goals per match.
Brasileirão table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4. | 30 | 14-9-7 | 48:37 | 51 | |
| 15. | 29 | 9-8-12 | 36:42 | 35 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Fluminense
- AAthletico Paranaense3–3D
- HRemo2–1W
- HPalmeiras3–2W
- ABotafogo RJ1–1D
- HVasco da Gama1–3L
Vasco da Gama
- AVitória0–2W
- HCruzeiro3–1W
- HVitória1–0W
- APalmeiras4–1L
- HSantos FC0–3L
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
- Fluminense 1–3 Vasco da GamaCopa do Brazil