Brasileirão · Match preview
Palmeiras 4–1
Vasco da Gama
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Allianz Parque
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Match overview
Final score: Palmeiras 4–1 Vasco da Gama.
Palmeiras are 1st in the Brasileirão table with 66 points from 31 matches; Vasco da Gama are 15th with 35 points from 29.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Palmeiras L D L W L; Vasco da Gama L D W D L.
In their last 5 settled matches Palmeiras scored 1.8 and conceded 1.6 goals per game; Vasco da Gama scored 0.8 and conceded 1.2 in their last 5.
The Brasileirão averages 2.7 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 2.7. Over 2.5 landed in 60% and both teams scored in 50% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Palmeiras to win at 75% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Palmeiras to win
- Probability
- 75%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Brasileirão record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 80% | 60% | 40% |
| Vasco da Gama | 5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 40% | 40% | 20% |
Brasileirão average this season: 2.7 goals per match.
Brasileirão table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | 31 | 19-9-3 | 54:22 | 66 | |
| 15. | 29 | 9-8-12 | 36:42 | 35 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Palmeiras
Vasco da Gama
- HSantos FC0–3L
- ABahia0–0D
- AFluminense1–3W
- HMirassol1–1D
- AVitoria1–0L
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.