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Brasileirão · Match preview

Flamengo club crestFlamengo 3–1 Grêmio club crestGrêmio

Kick-off
Status
Finished
Venue
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

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Match overview

Final score: Flamengo 3–1 Grêmio.

Flamengo are 1st in the Brasileirão table with 76 points from 34 matches; Grêmio are 18th with 37 points from 34.

Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Flamengo W W D W D; Grêmio W W W L D.

In their last 5 settled matches Flamengo scored 2.0 and conceded 0.6 goals per game; Grêmio scored 1.6 and conceded 1.0 in their last 5.

The Brasileirão averages 2.7 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 2.6. Over 2.5 landed in 40% and both teams scored in 40% of their recent games.

Before kick-off the model’s pick was Flamengo to win at 77% probability, and it came in.

All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced

Settled

The model’s pre-match pick and how it went

Pick
Flamengo to win
Probability
77%
Outcome
Came in

Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Brasileirão record

Goals in recent matches

From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.

ClubPForAgainstOver 2.5BTTSClean sheet
Flamengo52.00.660%40%60%
Grêmio51.61.020%40%60%

Brasileirão average this season: 2.7 goals per match.

Brasileirão table: the two clubs

Full table
#ClubPW-D-LGoalsPts
1.Flamengo club crestFlamengo3423-7-471:2976
18.Grêmio club crestGrêmio349-10-1538:4737

Recent form

Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.

Head-to-head

Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).

No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.

Brasileirão page