Brasileirão · Match preview
Flamengo 3–2 
Atlético-MG
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
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Match overview
Final score: Flamengo 3–2 Atlético-MG.
Flamengo are 1st in the Brasileirão table with 76 points from 34 matches; Atlético-MG are 7th with 50 points from 34.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Flamengo D W D W D; Atlético-MG L W W W D.
In their last 5 settled matches Flamengo scored 1.2 and conceded 0.4 goals per game; Atlético-MG scored 1.6 and conceded 1.0 in their last 5.
The Brasileirão averages 2.7 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 2.1. Over 2.5 landed in 50% and both teams scored in 30% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Flamengo to win at 67% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Flamengo to win
- Probability
- 67%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Brasileirão record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | 5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 40% | 20% | 80% |
| Atlético-MG | 5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 60% | 40% | 40% |
Brasileirão average this season: 2.7 goals per match.
Brasileirão table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Flamengo | 34 | 23-7-4 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 7. | Atlético-MG | 34 | 14-8-12 | 44:40 | 50 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Flamengo
- HEstudiantesCONMEBOL Libertadores0–0D
- ABahiaBrazilian Serie A0–3W
- AEstudiantesCONMEBOL Libertadores0–0D
- HFluminenseBrazilian Serie A1–0W
- ASantosBrazilian Serie A2–2D
Atlético-MG
- AMontevideo City TorqueCONMEBOL Sudamericana2–0L
- HCoritibaBrazilian Serie A1–0W
- HMontevideo City TorqueCONMEBOL Sudamericana3–0W
- HSantosBrazilian Serie A2–1W
- AAthletico ParanaenseBrazilian Serie A2–2D
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.
