Brasileirão · Match preview
Athletico Paranaense 2–2
Atlético-MG
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Estádio Joaquim Américo Guimarães
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Match overview
Final score: Athletico Paranaense 2–2 Atlético-MG.
Athletico Paranaense are 3rd in the Brasileirão table with 53 points from 30 matches; Atlético-MG are 7th with 48 points from 31.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Athletico Paranaense D L D W D; Atlético-MG L W W D D.
In their last 5 settled matches Athletico Paranaense scored 2.2 and conceded 2.4 goals per game; Atlético-MG scored 1.0 and conceded 1.0 in their last 5.
The Brasileirão averages 2.7 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 3.3. Over 2.5 landed in 60% and both teams scored in 80% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Athletico Paranaense to win at 51% probability; it did not come in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Athletico Paranaense to win
- Probability
- 51%
- Outcome
- Did not come in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Brasileirão record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico Paranaense | 5 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 80% | 100% | 0% |
| Atlético-MG | 5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 40% | 60% | 20% |
Brasileirão average this season: 2.7 goals per match.
Brasileirão table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. | 30 | 15-8-7 | 49:35 | 53 | |
| 7. | 31 | 13-9-9 | 41:35 | 48 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Athletico Paranaense
Atlético-MG
- ASão Paulo2–0L
- HCruzeiro2–1W
- HVitória2–1W
- ACruzeiro1–1D
- AInternacional0–0D
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.