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Brasileirão · Match preview

Cruzeiro club crestCruzeiro 3–2 Bahia club crestBahia

Kick-off
Status
Finished
Venue
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

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Match overview

Final score: Cruzeiro 3–2 Bahia.

Cruzeiro are 3rd in the Brasileirão table with 60 points from 34 matches; Bahia are 6th with 53 points from 34.

Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Cruzeiro W W W L W; Bahia W D L W L.

In their last 5 settled matches Cruzeiro scored 2.0 and conceded 1.2 goals per game; Bahia scored 1.0 and conceded 1.4 in their last 5.

The Brasileirão averages 2.7 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 2.8. Over 2.5 landed in 40% and both teams scored in 40% of their recent games.

Before kick-off the model’s pick was Cruzeiro to win at 54% probability, and it came in.

All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced

Settled

The model’s pre-match pick and how it went

Pick
Cruzeiro to win
Probability
54%
Outcome
Came in

Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Brasileirão record

Goals in recent matches

From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.

ClubPForAgainstOver 2.5BTTSClean sheet
Cruzeiro52.01.240%40%60%
Bahia51.01.440%40%20%

Brasileirão average this season: 2.7 goals per match.

Brasileirão table: the two clubs

Full table
#ClubPW-D-LGoalsPts
3.Cruzeiro club crestCruzeiro3418-6-1055:4860
6.Bahia club crestBahia3414-11-950:4553

Recent form

Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.

Head-to-head

Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).

No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.

Brasileirão page