Brasileirão · Match preview
Palmeiras 1–0 
Bahia
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Allianz Parque
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Match overview
Final score: Palmeiras 1–0 Bahia.
Palmeiras are 1st in the Brasileirão table with 66 points from 31 matches; Bahia are 6th with 49 points from 30.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Palmeiras D D D W W; Bahia W W W W D.
In their last 5 settled matches Palmeiras scored 1.6 and conceded 0.4 goals per game; Bahia scored 2.6 and conceded 1.6 in their last 5.
The Brasileirão averages 2.7 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 3.1. Over 2.5 landed in 60% and both teams scored in 60% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Palmeiras to win at 65% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Palmeiras to win
- Probability
- 65%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Brasileirão record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 40% | 40% | 60% |
| Bahia | 5 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 80% | 80% | 20% |
Brasileirão average this season: 2.7 goals per match.
Brasileirão table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Palmeiras | 31 | 19-9-3 | 54:22 | 66 |
| 6. | Bahia | 30 | 13-10-7 | 44:36 | 49 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Palmeiras
- ABotafogo0–0D
- ASantos0–0D
- AMirassol1–1D
- HSantos FC3–0W
- HVasco da Gama4–1W
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.
