Championship · Match preview
Burnley 1–1 
Derby County
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Turf Moor
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Match overview
Final score: Burnley 1–1 Derby County.
Burnley are 22nd in the Championship table with 8 points from 11 matches; Derby County are 23rd with 6 points from 11.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Burnley L D L D L; Derby County L L L W L.
In their last 5 settled matches Burnley scored 0.8 and conceded 2.0 goals per game; Derby County scored 0.6 and conceded 1.8 in their last 5.
The Championship averages 2.9 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 2.6. Over 2.5 landed in 60% and both teams scored in 50% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Derby County to win at 45% probability; it did not come in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Derby County to win
- Probability
- 45%
- Outcome
- Did not come in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Championship record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 5 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 60% | 80% | 20% |
| Derby County | 5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
Championship average this season: 2.9 goals per match.
Championship table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22. | Burnley | 11 | 1-5-5 | 16:21 | 8 |
| 23. | Derby County | 11 | 1-3-7 | 9:20 | 6 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.