Championship · Match preview
Derby County 1–2 
Birmingham City
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Pride Park Stadium
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Match overview
Final score: Derby County 1–2 Birmingham City.
Derby County are 23rd in the Championship table with 6 points from 11 matches; Birmingham City are 4th with 20 points from 11.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Derby County L L W L D; Birmingham City L D D W D.
In their last 5 settled matches Derby County scored 0.8 and conceded 1.8 goals per game; Birmingham City scored 1.6 and conceded 1.6 in their last 5.
The Championship averages 2.9 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 2.9. Over 2.5 landed in 70% and both teams scored in 60% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Derby County to win at 36% probability; it did not come in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Derby County to win
- Probability
- 36%
- Outcome
- Did not come in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Championship record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County | 5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| Birmingham City | 5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 80% | 100% | 0% |
Championship average this season: 2.9 goals per match.
Championship table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23. | Derby County | 11 | 1-3-7 | 9:20 | 6 |
| 4. | Birmingham City | 11 | 5-5-1 | 20:11 | 20 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.