Mito Hollyhock
Kyoto Sangyo University
The model leans Kyoto Sangyo University at 42%. Expected goals: Mito Hollyhock 1.44, Kyoto Sangyo University 1.82. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 65%.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mito Hollyhock | 30% | 3.39 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.04 | – | – | – |
| 2Kyoto Sangyo University | 46% | 2.19 | – | – | – |
Pick: Kyoto Sangyo University. Calibrated probability 42% (raw model output 46%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.44 – 1.82| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% |
| Both teams to score | Yes64% | No36% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.2%
- 2–17.2%
- 0–17.0%
- 2–26.6%
- 0–26.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 56% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Kyoto Sangyo University −0.5| Mito Hollyhock line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| 0 | 31% | 23% | 47% |
| +0.5 | 53% | – | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 21% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | – | 26% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.