Viktoria Köln 1904
Jahn Regensburg
The model leans Viktoria Köln 1904 at 38%. Expected goals: Viktoria Köln 1904 1.48, Jahn Regensburg 1.26. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%. Viktoria Köln 1904 won 2 of their last 4; Jahn Regensburg won 1 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Viktoria Köln 1904 | 41% | 2.44 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.59 | – | – | – |
| 2Jahn Regensburg | 31% | 3.20 | – | – | – |
Pick: Viktoria Köln 1904. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 41%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 72%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.48 – 1.26| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Both teams to score | Yes55% | No45% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–07.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 48% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Viktoria Köln 1904 0| Viktoria Köln 1904 line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 20% | – | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| 0 | 42% | 25% | 32% |
| +0.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.