Al-Orobah FC
Al-Zulfi
The model leans Al-Orobah FC at 50%. Expected goals: Al-Orobah FC 1.67, Al-Zulfi 1.10. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%. Al-Orobah FC won 0 of their last 4; Al-Zulfi won 0 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al-Orobah FC | 50% | 2.02 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.77 | – | – | – |
| 2Al-Zulfi | 24% | 4.19 | – | – | – |
Pick: Al-Orobah FC. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 50%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.67 – 1.10| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.7%
- 0–16.9%
- 1–26.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 49% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Al-Orobah FC −0.5| Al-Orobah FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 24% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | – | 49% |
| 0 | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.